Market Comment
Mortgage bond prices rose last week, pushing mortgage interest rates lower. The bond market was buoyed by the announcement that US Treasury increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac credit lines to a total of $400 billion. This was a signal to investors that these entities are “too big to fail”, as viewed by the Treasury. We saw some weakness Thursday afternoon as retailers reported stronger than expected holiday sales. The employment report Friday was generally bond friendly.

For the week, interest rates fell by about 1/4 of a discount point.

The inflation data Friday will be the most important economic data this week. Signs of stronger than expected inflation would not be positive for mortgage interest rates. The Treasury auctions will also dominate trading. Stronger than normal foreign demand could bode well for the overall level of interest rates.

Employment Results
The December employment report came in relatively bond friendly. Unemployment came in at 10% as expected. However the payrolls component showed job losses of 85,000 compared to the 35,000 losses expected by analysts. The mortgage bond market had a generally positive reaction to the report but improvements in rates were tempered by concerns for some of the revised data from prior months. Revisions to the November figures showed a 4000-job increase as opposed to the original 11,000-job decrease.

Related Articles: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Inflation, Market Report, The Fed, Unemployment